Texas Manufactured Housing Sales Market Analysis

September Preliminary Data

New manufactured home sales moved higher in September according to the titles issued to date, with sales increasing a seasonally adjusted +7.2% from August. New home sales for September are currently running +6% over the same month in 2021.

New home sales are also ahead of September of 2020 and 2019 as well.

The forecast for new homes sold in September based on the sales titled to date is 1,455 (+/- 195).

New SalesSinglesMultisTotal
Total for September: 475 515 990
Change from August (Raw %): 4.2% -2.8% 0.4%
Change from August (Raw Units): 19 -15 4
Change from August (SA %): 11.6% 4.3% 7.2%
Change from September of 2021 (%): 3% 8.9% 6%
Change from September of 2021 (Units): 14 42 56
Used SalesSinglesMultisTotal
Total for September: 106 42 148
Change from August (Raw %): -37.3% -27.6% -34.8%
Change from August (Raw Units): -63 -16 -79
Change from August (SA %): -16.6% -8% -12.7%
Change from September of 2021 (%): -32.1% -8.7% -26.7%
Change from September of 2021 (Units): -50 -4 -54

August Data

New home sales titled to date for August moved up a seasonally adjusted +3.7% from the previous month, and were up +9.3% from August of 2021.

The updated forecast for total new homes sold in August moved up slightly to 1,461 (+/- 110).

New SalesSinglesMultisTotal
Total for August: 542 668 1,210
Change from July (Raw %): 15.3% 12.1% 13.5%
Change from July (Raw Units): 72 72 144
Change from July (SA %): 4.7% 6.5% 3.7%
Change from August of 2021 (%): 3.4% 14.6% 9.3%
Change from August of 2021 (Units): 18 85 103

New Home Characteristics for AugustSinglesMultisTotal
Median Age of Home (Days): 117.5 109 112
Average Square Feet: 1,099 1,834 1,505

Top Five Counties for New InstallsTotalChange (MoM%)
Liberty 54 17.4%
Harris 50 31.6%
Travis 45 45.2%
Bexar 42 23.5%
Bastrop 41 10.8%
Used SalesSinglesMultisTotal
Total for August: 197 73 270
Change from July (Raw %): 11.9% 2.8% 9.3%
Change from July (Raw Units): 21 2 23
Change from July (SA %): 5.8% 0.7% 1.7%
Change from August of 2021 (%): -10.5% -18.9% -12.9%
Change from August of 2021 (Units): -23 -17 -40

Annual Totals

New home sales for 2022 are now up +2.5% over last year for all retail sales titled through this point in the calendar year.

Single-section sales are up slightly at +1.5% and multi-section sales are up +3.5%.

The forecast for new home sales on the year moved up to 16,645 (+/- 1,163).

New SalesSinglesMultisTotal
Total for 2022 titled to date: 5,554 6,284 11,838
Change from 2021 (%): 1.5% 3.5% 2.5%
Change from 2021 (Units): 83 210 293

New Home Characteristics for 2022SinglesMultisTotal
Median Age of Home (Days): 111 102 106
Average Square Feet: 2,184 1,830 1,996

Top Five Counties for New InstallsTotalChange (YoY%)
Liberty 497 -13.4%
Harris 477 15.8%
Montgomery 431 -9.6%
Bexar 361 6.2%
Bastrop 322 18.8%
Used SalesSinglesMultisTotal
Total for 2022 titled to date: 2,106 862 2,968
Change from 2021 (%): -0.7% -11.2% -4%
Change from 2021 (Units): -14 -109 -123

Because titles continue to come in for past sales months, here are all prior months for the year and what their current sales totals are at this report release.

New Sales MonthSinglesMultisTotal(YoY%)
January 521 579 1,100 5.4
February 506 582 1,088 16.2
March 730 815 1,545 2.6
April 676 779 1,455 -2.6
May 681 753 1,434 -3.7
June 759 764 1,523 10.0
July 499 647 1,146 -14.2
Used Sales MonthSinglesMultisTotal(YoY%)
January 216 93 309 -23.1
February 216 84 300 12.8
March 274 124 398 -1.0
April 283 129 412 3.0
May 309 124 433 20.3
June 262 98 360 -3.5
July 204 78 282 -12.7

Note: These calculations are based on titles processed by TDHCA through 2022-11-15. Late submissions will impact these figures going forward.

Charts

The first chart shows monthly sales totals for each year with only titles processed through 11-15.

Note: These calculations are based on titles processed by TDHCA through 2022-11-15. Late submissions will impact these figures going forward.


The second chart shows monthly totals at the official release date for each month. All of these totals have moved up since release, and the most recent totals can be seen in the chart below this one.

Note: These calculations are based on titles processed by TDHCA through 2022-11-15. Late submissions will impact these figures going forward.


The third chart is all sales data in the series to date with single-section and multi-section home totals plotted.

Note: These calculations are based on titles processed by TDHCA through 2022-11-15. Late submissions will impact these figures going forward.


This chart tracks the difference between shipments and sales each month. Because late title work pushes recent sales totals up, I’m including data through the previous officially released sales month. Retail sales have not beaten shipments in any month since July of 2021.

Note: These calculations are based on titles processed by TDHCA through 2022-11-15. Late submissions will impact these figures going forward.


Here are the 12-month moving averages for shipments and retail sales through July sales. Because late title work pushes recent sales totals up, I’m including data through the previous officially released sales month, but the last several months will move up as title work continues to be processed.

Note: These calculations are based on titles processed by TDHCA through 2022-11-15. Late submissions will impact these figures going forward.


This chart displays the annual median for the number of days between a home’s date of sale and it’s date of manufacture. Prior to 2/22/21 this chart included sales from manufacturers to communities, it now only includes sales from licensed retailers.

Note: These calculations are based on titles processed by TDHCA through 2022-11-15. Late submissions will impact these figures going forward.


The final chart is for all used monthly retail sales data. The outliers are typically the result of community purchases were titles move from the previous to the new MHC owner.

Note: These calculations are based on titles processed by TDHCA through 2022-11-15. Late submissions will impact these figures going forward.