Texas Manufactured Housing Sales Market Analysis

Tags: News

February Preliminary Data

New manufactured home sales in February titled to date moved up a seasonally-adjusted +7.6% from the previous month’s sales but are down -12.4% from the 29 day February of 2024. The additional day from the leap year is stretching what was more like a -7% decline year-over-year.

The forecast for total new homes sold in February based on sales titled to date starts at 1,157 (+/- 76). The upper bound of the prediction interval is 209 homes below the 1,441 shipment total for the month, so aggregate inventory likely increased in February by an above average amount when those numbers roll in.

New SalesSinglesMultisTotal
Total for February: 340 445 785
Change from January (Raw %): 9.3% 19% 14.6%
Change from January (Raw Units): 29 71 100
Change from January (SA %): 3.8% 20.6% 7.6%
Change from February of 2024 (%): -13.5% -11.5% -12.4%
Change from February of 2024 (Units): -53 -58 -111
Used SalesSinglesMultisTotal
Total for February: 85 37 122
Change from January (Raw %): -10.5% -5.1% -9%
Change from January (Raw Units): -10 -2 -12
Change from January (SA %): -28.6% -4.5% -19.4%
Change from February of 2024 (%): -10.5% -27.5% -16.4%
Change from February of 2024 (Units): -10 -14 -24

January Data

New home sales for January titled to date are down a seasonally adjusted -1% from the previous month and are down -2.9% on the raw total from January of 2024.

Harris County started off the year with the most new home installations with Montgomery and Bastrop counties rounding out the top three.

The updated forecast for total new homes sold in January moved up with the additional titling data and is now at 1,034 (+/- 76).

The 12-month moving average for retail sales is expected to move lower across the first two months of 2025.

New SalesSinglesMultisTotal
Total for January: 378 481 859
Change from December (Raw %): -3.8% -9.2% -6.9%
Change from December (Raw Units): -15 -49 -64
Change from December (SA %): -3.4% 0.5% -1%
Change from January of 2024 (%): -2.8% -3% -2.9%
Change from January of 2024 (Units): -11 -15 -26

New Home Characteristics for JanuarySinglesMultisTotal
Median Age of Home (Days): 145 106 126
Median Square Footage: 1,082 1,680 1,400

Top 10 Counties for New InstallsTotalChange (MoM%)
Harris 38 15.2%
Montgomery 34 -20.9%
Bastrop 28 -3.4%
Ector 26 -16.1%
Midland 25 127.3%
Liberty 24 -29.4%
Hidalgo 22 37.5%
Bexar 21 -30%
Tarrant 21 5%
Smith 20 5.3%

Used SalesSinglesMultisTotal
Total for January: 139 61 200
Change from December (Raw %): -50.2% -12.9% -42.7%
Change from December (Raw Units): -140 -9 -149
Change from December (SA %): -44.6% 5.6% -31.1%
Change from January of 2024 (%): 26.4% 56.4% 34.2%
Change from January of 2024 (Units): 29 22 51

Annual Totals

New home sales for 2025 are currently down -9.6% from 2024 for all retail sales titled through this point in the calendar. Both multi-section sales and single-section sales are trailing last year’s sales totals.

The forecast for new home sales on the year opens at 16,045 (+/- 1,696).

Install counties with the most additional new home placements over 2024 are Ector, Tarrant, Hunt, Bastrop, and Smith.

Install counties with the biggest decline in new home placements from 2024 are Harris, Montgomery, Liberty, Guadelupe, and Harrison.

Mailing address cities with the most new home placements over 2024 are Dale, Odessa, Greenville, Burleson and San Marcos.

Mailing address cities with the largest decline in new home placements from 2024 are Conroe, Houston, Cleveland, Seguin, and Marshall.

New SalesSinglesMultisTotal
Total for 2025 titled to date: 942 1,205 2,147
Change from 2024 (%): -12% -7.7% -9.6%
Change from 2024 (Units): -128 -101 -229

New Home Characteristics for 2025SinglesMultisTotal
Median Age of Home (Days): 130 94 113
Median Square Footage: 1,080 1,640 1,387

Top 10 Counties for New InstallsTotalChange (YoY%)
Harris 88 -33.3%
Montgomery 86 -22.5%
Liberty 83 -21%
Ector 75 50%
Bastrop 72 30.9%
Bexar 62 -18.4%
Midland 61 22%
Hidalgo 47 6.8%
Tarrant 46 109.1%
Brazoria 39 -11.4%

Used SalesSinglesMultisTotal
Total for 2025 titled to date: 290 119 409
Change from 2024 (%): 6.2% 3.5% 5.4%
Change from 2024 (Units): 17 4 21

Charts

The first chart shows monthly sales totals for each year with only titles processed through 4-17.

Note: These calculations are based on titles processed by TDHCA through 2025-04-17.


Here are the cumulative sales totals for each year with only titles processed through 4-17.

Note: These calculations are based on titles processed by TDHCA through 2025-04-17.


This chart is all sales data in the series to date with single-section and multi-section home totals plotted.

Note: These calculations are based on titles processed by TDHCA through 2025-04-17. Late submissions will impact these figures going forward.


This chart tracks the difference between shipments and sales each month. Because late title work pushes recent sales totals up, I’m including data through the previous officially released sales month.

Note: These calculations are based on titles processed by TDHCA through 2025-04-17. Late submissions will impact these figures going forward.


Here are the 12-month moving averages for shipments and retail sales through December. Because late title work pushes recent sales totals up, I’m including data through the previous officially released sales month, but the last several months will move up as title work continues to be processed.

Note: These calculations are based on titles processed by TDHCA through 2025-04-17. Late submissions will impact these figures going forward.


This chart displays the annual median for the number of days between a home’s date of sale and it’s date of manufacture. Prior to 2/22/21 this chart included sales from manufacturers to communities, it now only includes sales from licensed retailers.

Note: These calculations are based on titles processed by TDHCA through 2025-04-17. Late submissions will impact these figures going forward.


The final chart is for all used monthly retail sales data. The outliers are typically the result of community purchases were titles move from the previous to the new MHC owner.

Note: These calculations are based on titles processed by TDHCA through 2025-04-17. Late submissions will impact these figures going forward.