Texas Manufactured Housing Market Report January 2026 and 2025 Year End - Sales Data & Analysis

Early Look

New manufactured home sales for January 2026 titled to date are down a seasonally-adjusted 13.6% from the previous month but are 26.6% above January of 2025 as the titling shift that has been underway since August of 2025 continues to inflate year-over-year numbers. Home sales that would have previously been titled with an earlier purchase contract date a year ago are now getting titled with a later date of when the change in ownership ultimately occurs.

Until we get through the summer of 2026, year-over-year numbers should remain high.

As you can see in the plot below the early January reading is historically high due to the titling cadence change, and the sequential seasonally-adjusted decline has more to do with December being the highest seasonally-adjusted month on record at both the early release point and at the regular release point. The cadence shift will add noise to the seasonal-adjustments, but they’re still one of our best gauges on the health of the retail market. Early release seasonal-adjustments have been running higher than historical totals since July of 2025, and the January total is 2% above the average since that upward shift.

All in all, the month is looking better than the headline previous month decline would suggest.

The comparisons in the table below are based on where the previous month’s numbers were when originally reported on one month ago.

TMHA Member’s Retailer Annual Sales Totals Report

Titled on Time

New home sales for December titled to date were up a seasonally adjusted 7.1% from the previous month and are up 32.5% on the raw total from December of 2024. Revisions should be much lower moving forward but the December total for 2024 settled at 1,242 purchased homes, so the 2025 total was not far off from that mark.

As mentioned above, the seasonally-adjusted sales total for the month was a series record for the data we’ve been tracking since 2012 as the cadence shifted sales that would have gone to earlier sales month revisions were instead titled with ownership changing in December.

While the plot above contains revised totals for previous months the comparisons in the table below are based on where the previous month’s numbers were when released one month ago.

TMHA Member’s Retailer Monthly Sales Totals Report

Installation Location Trends

Here are the month-over-month changes for the top 10 counties for new home sales in December and in the previous four months.

Liberty and Bastrop counties were the only locales with new home placements coming in lower in raw totals from the previous month for the top 10 new home sales counties.

TMHA Member’s Retailer Annual Sales Total per County Report

Moving Averages

The 12-month moving average for shipments peaked in July of 2025 for this last production expansion cycle and has been moving lower through January 2026.

The 12-month moving average for retail sales is currently plotted through October 2025. Until those lines cross again, shipments will continue to face headwinds.

THMA Public Shipment Report