May 2015 Reports and June Preliminary Data

On time new home titles for May came in down around where we reported them in last month's preliminary release. The inclusion of the additional month's worth of retailer titles has pushed us red across the board for the January through May time frame.

Looking forward though, while June shipments were down from the preceding month, down from June of 2014, and down YoY, June preliminary titles are well up over June of 2014 and are at this point second only to March's preliminary total for the year. As shipments have been tracking ahead of new titles this could be a result of retailers selling additional homes out of inventory.

Also out of the good news department, March saw a strong upward revision of an additional 81 new homes and I've had the good pleasure of talking to a number of our manufacturer, retailer and lender members at our 63rd Annual Convention, and the consensus view is that July was good and August is tracking very well.

May

Total Market:

  • Total titles change from previous month: -5.07%*
  • Total titles change from same month last year: -14.25%*
  • Total titles YTD change from same date last year: -1.28%*

New Market:

  • New titles change from previous month: -8.00%*
  • New titles change from same month last year: -15.31%*
  • New titles YTD change from same date last year: -0.95%*
  • Shipments for the month change from previous month: -11.03%
  • Shipments for the month change from same month last year: -2.31%
  • Shipments for 2015 thru this month change from same date last year: +1.10%

Used Market:

  • Used titles change from previous month: +5.91%*
  • Used titles change from same month last year: -10.63%*
  • Used titles YTD change from same date last year: -2.35%*

June

Shipments:

  • Shipments for the month change from previous month: -7.23%
  • Shipments for the month change from same month last year: -5.97%
  • Shipments for 2015 thru this month change from same date last year: -0.32%

Preliminary Title Trends:

  • Total titles change from same month last year: +12.19%*
  • New titles change from same month last year: +19.49%*
  • Used titles change from same month last year: -14.66%*

April

Last Month's Revisions:

  • New titles increased +81 units to 1031
  • Used titles increased +43 units to 297

TMHA's Reports

Total Market

Retailer

Manufacturer

Lender

* Note: These calculations are based on titles processed by TDHCA that were submitted on time. Late submissions will impact these figures going forward.

† Note: Shipment data is compiled from TDHCA's Texas Manufacturer's Report and their Out of State Maunfacturer's Report.