July 2015 Reports and August Preliminary Data

New home titles for July came in better than the preliminary data suggested finishing up 2.36% over July of 2014. The total of 954 new homes was down 2.75% from June, but the gains did push our year to date total up over 0.5%.

Used title numbers were inflated by what appears to be the selling of two communities. After filtering those out the numbers are closer to up 19% over June and down 5% from July of 2014, but this is certainly one of the problems with the used title data, it's a bit noisier. I'm a data purist so the reports will reflect the titles with the inclusion of community sells.

Looking back there were some solid upward revisions to June's totals for both new and used homes. And looking forward, August shipments had a sharp decline of 13.61%, but the titling data processed to date is only down about 1%, so I'm hopeful that out-of-state demand pushed those shipment numbers down more so than a decline in Texas consumer demand. The national numbers from MHI would certainly support that theory with US total shipments up 8.1% through August.

Finally, I am pleased to announce the release of our Manufacturer New Home Totals per Retailer Report. This report was created based on the input of one of our Manufacturer members and with it you can see the retailer totals for each manufacturer's homes.

July

Total Market:

  • Total titles change from previous month: +28.19%*
  • Total titles change from same month last year: +27.35%*
  • Total titles YTD change from same date last year: +3.46%*

New Market:

  • New titles change from previous month: -2.75%*
  • New titles change from same month last year: +2.36%*
  • New titles YTD change from same date last year: +0.59%*
  • Shipments for the month change from previous month: +8.08%
  • Shipments for the month change from same month last year: -1.83%
  • Shipments for 2015 thru this month change from same date last year: -0.53%

Used Market:

  • Used titles change from previous month: +163.11%*
  • Used titles change from same month last year: +109.93%*
  • Used titles YTD change from same date last year: +12.43%*

August

Shipments:

  • Shipments for the month change from previous month: -13.61%
  • Shipments for the month change from same month last year: -13.61%
  • Shipments for 2015 thru this month change from same date last year: -2.12%

Preliminary Title Trends:

  • Total titles change from same month last year: +3.22%*
  • New titles change from same month last year: -1.14%*
  • Used titles change from same month last year: +23.26%*

June

Last Month's Revisions:

  • New titles increased +77 units to 1058
  • Used titles increased +64 units to 289

TMHA's Reports

Total Market

Retailer

Manufacturer

Lender

* Note: These calculations are based on titles processed by TDHCA that were submitted on time. Late submissions will impact these figures going forward.

† Note: Shipment data is compiled from TDHCA's Texas Manufacturer's Report and their Out of State Maunfacturer's Report.